Device for Calculating Probability Distribution of Building Sustainability Index Using Monte Carlo Simulation
This technology is a sustainability assessment device that derives the probability distribution of input quantities for building materials and energy sources, and calculates the probability distribution of environmental impact assessment values using Monte Carlo simulation to determine the probability distribution of the environmental impact index.
Life cycle assessment of buildings involves uncertainties in factors such as material input quantities, making it difficult to represent reliability with a single value and challenging to assess sustainability probabilistically.
By calculating the probability distribution of assessment values using input quantity probability distributions and Monte Carlo simulation, this technology can be applied to building sustainability assessments to provide a probabilistic index that reflects uncertainty.
Key Features:
- A first storage unit that stores a set of baseline environmental impact assessment values and environmental impact coefficients for each building material and energy source.
- An input unit that receives information on building area, as well as quantities of multiple building materials and energy consumption.
- A probability distribution calculation unit that derives the probability distribution of building material input quantities and energy consumption based on settings corresponding to the area information.
- A first calculation unit that computes the probability distribution of environmental impact assessment values using Monte Carlo simulation and derives the probability distribution of the environmental impact index by dividing by the baseline value.
